Banking

A study on the impact of merger on Financial Performance of Public Sector Banks in India

Authors: CA Sk Shakeel and Dr. Sukamal Datta • Member of the Institute & Academician • Contact: CASKL2013@GMAIL.COM / eboard@icai.in • The Chartered Accountant | April 2023 (pp. 95–103 / Journal pp. 1155–1163)

Empirical Study Synopsis & Key Findings

Finance Minister Smt. Nirmala Sitharaman announced the merger of 13 public sector banks vide circular RBI/ 2019-20/197 FIDD.CO.LBS. BC.No.22/02.01.001/ 2019-20 dated 30.03.2020 for the merger of 10 public sector banks and vide press release 2018-2019/2329 dated 30.03.2019 for the amalgamation of Vijaya Bank, Dena Bank with Bank of Baroda, and this banking reform has reduced the total number of public sector banks from 27 to 12.

In this paper a study has been carried out to show the impact of merger on the financial performance of public sector banks in India and also to make a comparative analysis before and after merger to evaluate the effectiveness of this merger. Five financial variables are taken namely Capital Adequacy ratio (CAR), Earnings per Share (EPS), Return on Assets (ROA), percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances. We have taken data for twelve quarters, six quarters from pre-merger period and six quarters from post-merger period. Data are analyzed through paired t–test. We have found from the research that there is a significant impact of merger on the financial performance with respect to variables such as Capital Adequacy, percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances, while no significant impact of merger on EPS and ROA.

1. Introduction

In India, the banking system has started in 1770 with the Bank of Hindustan and since then the banking system started its operation in various fields or aspects. Indian banking system is one of the important parts of the Indian financial system. It can be said that the banking system is the backbone of the Indian financial system as the monetary transactions are done through the banking system, regulated by RBI.

However, since many years the merger of banks has been taking place for better growth, better returns to stakeholders, future prospect etc. However presently when there were twenty-seven public sector banks the finance minister put a decision on merger of thirteen banks on 17th September 2018 and 30th August 2019 and as a result of which there are twelve public sector banks in India after this merger.

Table 1: List of Merged Banks in Recent Times with Business Size

Date of Announcement of Merger Anchor Bank Amalgamating Bank Business Size (in ₹) Rank by Size
17th September 2018 Bank of Baroda (BOB) ✓ Vijaya Bank
✓ Dena Bank
16.13 lakh cr 3rd
30th August 2019 Canara Bank ✓ Syndicate Bank 15.20 lakh cr 4th
30th August 2019 Indian Bank ✓ Allahabad Bank 8.08 lakh cr 7th
30th August 2019 Punjab National Bank (PNB) ✓ Oriental Bank of Commerce
✓ United Bank of India
17.94 lakh cr 2nd
30th August 2019 Union Bank of India ✓ Andhra Bank
✓ Corporation Bank
14.59 lakh cr 5th

2. Research Design, Objectives, Hypothesis & Methodology

Research Objectives:

  1. To find out the impact of merger on the financial performance of public sector banks in India.
  2. To make a comparative analysis of financial performance of banks in the pre-merger and post-merger period.

Tested Hypotheses:

H0: µ1 = µ2: There is no significant difference in the financial performance of public sector banks before and after merger with respect to Capital Adequacy, EPS, ROA, percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances.

H1: µ1 ≠ µ2: There is a significant difference in the financial performance of public sector banks before and after merger with respect to Capital Adequacy, EPS, ROA, percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances.

Research Methodology & Econometric Setup:

In this study, data for the period of six quarters has been collected i.e., six quarters before merger and six quarters post-merger. Statistical tool like paired t-test has been applied and for each test statistic a 0.05 level of significance has been considered and an analysis have been done to prove the hypothesis. Five financial variables are taken namely Capital Adequacy ratio (CAR), Earnings per Share (EPS), Return on Assets (ROA), percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances.

Population of the study: The sample consists of five banks from banking sector. These banks are the anchor banks after merger of banks: Bank of Baroda (BOB), Canara Bank, Indian Bank, Punjab National Bank (PNB), and Union Bank of India.

Data Source: The study has been carried out with secondary data only. The data has been collected from audited annual reports and financial results of respective banks.

The announcement of Bank of Baroda merger was made on 17th September 2018 and the bank started its functioning as a merged entity with effect from 1st April, 2019 and therefore data for the six quarters before 1st April, 2019 and six quarters after 1st April, 2019 has been taken for comparison of the financial performance, while for the other four bank mergers the date of announcement of merger was 30th August 2019 and the merged entity started its operation with effect from 1st April, 2020 and therefore data for these banks has been taken for six quarters before 1st April, 2020 and six quarters after 1st April, 2020. So, a pre-merger and post-merger comparative study on the financial performance of merged public sector banks in India has been done comparing the quarterly results in which the first quarter in pre-merger period is compared with first quarter in the post-merger period and similarly for the next five quarters.

3. Bank of Baroda (BOB): Quarterly Data & Paired t-Test Performance

Table 2: Data of Five Ratios of Bank of Baroda for Twelve Quarters

SR Quarter Before Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA Quarter After Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA
1 Dec 2017 11.55 0.49 0.07 11.31 4.97 June 2019 11.50 2.04 0.49 10.28 3.95
2 March 2018 12.13 -13.44 -1.77 12.26 5.49 Sept 2019 12.98 2.01 0.28 10.25 3.91
3 June 2018 12.13 2.00 0.29 12.46 5.40 Dec 2019 13.48 -3.70 -0.52 10.43 4.05
4 Sept 2018 11.88 1.61 0.23 11.78 4.86 March 2020 13.30 1.26 0.18 9.40 3.13
5 Dec 2018 11.67 1.78 0.25 11.01 4.26 June 2020 12.84 -1.87 -0.30 9.39 2.83
6 March 2019 13.42 -3.75 -0.52 9.61 3.33 Sept 2020 13.26 3.63 0.59 9.14 2.51

Table 3: Financial Performance of Bank of Baroda Before and After Merger

No. Ratios Period Mean Standard Deviation Sig-Value Alpha Hypothesis Decision
1 CAR Pre-merger 12.1300 0.67448 0.045 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 12.8933 0.72052
2 EPS Pre-merger -1.8850 6.05603 0.478 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 0.5617 2.76624
3 ROA Pre-merger -0.2417 0.80713 0.448 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 0.1200 0.44113
4 % of Gross NPA to Advances Pre-merger 11.4050 1.03651 0.003 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 9.8150 0.56430
5 % of Net NPA to Advances Pre-merger 4.7183 0.81007 0.000 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 3.3967 0.65954

Interpretation: From Table 3 it can be observed that there is a significant impact of merger on CAR, percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances of Bank of Baroda as significance value is less than 0.05 and it is also found that there is no significant impact of merger on EPS and ROA. The mean value of EPS improved as it arrived to a positive value from -1.8850 to 0.5617, ROA has also improved after merger with -0.2417 to 0.12 showing a better performance and also the mean value of percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances has reduced after merger signifying a better performance.

4. Canara Bank: Quarterly Data & Paired t-Test Performance

Table 4: Data of Five Ratios of Canara Bank for Twelve Quarters

SR Quarter Before Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA Quarter After Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA
1 Dec 2018 12.21 4.33 0.21 10.25 6.37 June 2020 12.77 2.79 0.16 8.84 3.95
2 March 2019 11.90 -7.40 -0.36 8.83 5.37 Sept 2020 12.77 3.06 0.16 8.23 3.42
3 June 2019 11.70 4.37 0.19 8.77 5.35 Dec 2020 13.69 4.65 0.24 7.46 2.64
4 Sept 2019 13.99 4.84 0.21 8.68 5.15 March 2021 13.18 6.14 0.36 8.93 3.82
5 Dec 2019 13.86 4.22 0.19 8.36 5.05 June 2021 13.36 7.15 0.41 8.50 3.46
6 March 2020 13.65 -31.64 -1.85 8.21 4.22 Sept 2021 14.37 7.77 0.46 8.42 3.21

Table 5: Financial Performance of Canara Bank Before and After Merger

No. Ratios Period Mean Standard Deviation Sig-Value Alpha Hypothesis Decision
1 CAR Pre-merger 12.8850 1.05707 0.305 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 13.3567 0.60951
2 EPS Pre-merger -3.5467 14.55649 0.224 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 5.2600 2.09569
3 ROA Pre-merger -0.2350 0.82233 0.203 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 0.2983 0.12968
4 % of Gross NPA to Advances Pre-merger 8.8500 0.72738 0.208 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 8.3967 0.52865
5 % of Net NPA to Advances Pre-merger 5.2517 0.69133 0.001 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 3.4167 0.46796

Interpretation: From Table 5 it can be observed that there is a significant impact of merger on percentage of net NPA to advances of Canara Bank as significance value is less than 0.05 and it is also found that there is no significant impact of merger on CAR, EPS, ROA, and percentage of gross NPA to advances. The mean value of EPS has improved from -3.5467 to 5.2600. ROA has become positive after merger from -0.2350 to 0.2983 showing a better performance after merger and also the mean values of percentage of net NPA to advances has fallen significantly from 5.5217 to 3.4167 which shows a better performance.

5. Indian Bank: Quarterly Data & Paired t-Test Performance

Table 6: Data of Five Ratios of Indian Bank for Twelve Quarters

SR Quarter Before Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA Quarter After Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA
1 Dec 2018 12.67 3.17 0.23 7.46 4.42 June 2020 13.45 3.27 0.25 10.90 3.76
2 March 2019 13.21 -3.95 -0.28 7.11 3.75 Sept 2020 13.64 3.65 0.28 9.89 2.96
3 June 2019 13.62 7.53 0.52 7.33 3.84 Dec 2020 14.06 4.55 0.35 9.04 2.35
4 Sept 2019 14.52 7.29 0.50 7.20 3.54 March 2021 15.71 15.13 1.09 9.85 3.37
5 Dec 2019 15.00 4.77 0.33 7.20 3.50 June 2021 15.92 10.39 0.75 9.69 3.47
6 March 2020 14.12 -3.58 -0.28 6.87 3.13 Sept 2021 15.88 8.75 0.69 9.56 3.26

Table 7: Financial Performance of Indian Bank Before and After Merger

No. Ratios Period Mean Standard Deviation Sig-Value Alpha Hypothesis Decision
1 CAR Pre-merger 13.8567 0.86011 0.007 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 14.7767 1.17994
2 EPS Pre-merger 2.5383 5.14601 0.077 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 7.6233 4.67885
3 ROA Pre-merger 0.1700 0.36486 0.065 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 0.5683 0.33229
4 % of Gross NPA to Advances Pre-merger 7.1950 0.20067 0.000 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 9.8217 0.61075
5 % of Net NPA to Advances Pre-merger 3.6967 0.43149 0.097 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 3.1950 0.48968

Interpretation: From Table 7 it can be observed that there is a significant impact of merger on CAR and percentage of gross NPA to advances of Indian Bank as significance value is less than 0.05 and it is also found that there is no significant impact of merger on EPS, ROA, and percentage of net NPA. The mean value of EPS has increased significantly from 2.5383 to 7.6233 showing greater earnings, ROA has increased from 0.17 to 0.5683 showing a better performance after merger and the mean value of percentage of gross NPA to advances has increased for Indian bank while percentage of net NPA to advances has reduced after merger signifying a better performance.

6. Punjab National Bank (PNB): Quarterly Data & Paired t-Test Performance

Table 8: Data of Five Ratios of Punjab National Bank for Twelve Quarters

SR Quarter Before Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA Quarter After Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA
1 Dec 2018 10.52 0.70 0.12 16.33 8.22 June 2020 12.63 0.33 0.09 14.11 5.39
2 March 2019 9.73 -12.38 -2.33 15.50 6.56 Sept 2020 12.84 0.66 0.19 13.43 4.75
3 June 2019 9.77 2.21 0.50 16.49 7.17 Dec 2020 13.88 0.53 0.15 12.99 4.03
4 Sept 2019 14.07 1.10 0.24 16.76 7.65 March 2021 14.32 0.56 0.18 14.12 5.73
5 Dec 2019 14.04 -0.83 -0.23 16.30 7.18 June 2021 15.19 0.95 0.30 14.33 5.84
6 March 2020 14.14 -1.03 0.31 14.21 5.78 Sept 2021 15.20 1.00 0.33 13.63 5.49

Table 9: Financial Performance of Punjab National Bank Before and After Merger

No. Ratios Period Mean Standard Deviation Sig-Value Alpha Hypothesis Decision
1 CAR Pre-merger 12.0450 2.25078 0.020 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 14.0100 1.11309
2 EPS Pre-merger -1.7050 5.36947 0.332 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 0.6717 0.25872
3 ROA Pre-merger -0.2317 1.05621 0.357 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 0.2067 0.09136
4 % of Gross NPA to Advances Pre-merger 15.9317 0.94262 0.003 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 13.7683 0.50898
5 % of Net NPA to Advances Pre-merger 7.0933 0.84876 0.006 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 5.2050 0.69021

Interpretation: From Table 9 it can be observed that there is a significant impact of merger on CAR, percentage of Gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances of Punjab National Bank as significance value is less than 0.05 and it is also found that there is no significant impact of merger on EPS and ROA. The mean value of CAR has increased from 12.0450 to 14.01 after merger. EPS became positive after merger from -1.7050 to 0.6717 a huge improvement in earnings, ROA also arrived at positive values from -0.2317 to 0.2067 showing a better performance after merger and the mean value of percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances has reduced after merger signifying a better performance.

7. Union Bank of India: Quarterly Data & Paired t-Test Performance

Table 10: Data of Five Ratios of Union Bank of India for Twelve Quarters

SR Quarter Before Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA Quarter After Merger CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA
1 Dec 2018 11.43 1.31 0.12 15.66 8.27 June 2020 11.62 0.52 0.12 14.95 4.97
2 March 2019 11.78 -28.19 -2.71 14.98 6.85 Sept 2020 12.38 0.81 0.19 14.71 4.13
3 June 2019 11.43 1.27 0.17 15.18 7.23 Dec 2020 12.98 1.13 0.28 13.49 3.27
4 Sept 2019 15.14 -6.77 -0.87 15.24 6.98 March 2021 12.56 2.08 0.49 13.74 4.62
5 Dec 2019 14.71 2.46 0.41 14.86 6.99 June 2021 13.32 1.79 0.43 13.60 4.69
6 March 2020 12.81 -7.31 -1.76 14.15 5.49 Sept 2021 13.64 2.23 0.56 12.64 4.61

Table 11: Financial Performance of Union Bank of India Before and After Merger

No. Ratios Period Mean Standard Deviation Sig-Value Alpha Hypothesis Decision
1 CAR Pre-merger 12.8833 1.66591 0.841 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 12.7500 0.72385
2 EPS Pre-merger -6.2050 11.59581 0.165 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 1.4267 0.70633
3 ROA Pre-merger -0.7733 1.25074 0.085 0.05 Accept null hypothesis
Post-merger 0.3450 0.17513
4 % of Gross NPA to Advances Pre-merger 15.0117 0.50344 0.004 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 13.8550 0.85062
5 % of Net NPA to Advances Pre-merger 6.9683 0.89027 0.002 0.05 Reject null hypothesis
Post-merger 4.3817 0.60816

Interpretation: From Table 11 it can be observed that there is a significant impact of merger on percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances of Union Bank of India as significance value is less than 0.05 and it is also found that there is no significant impact of merger on CAR, EPS, and ROA. However, we have observed that the mean value of EPS has improved after merger i.e., from -6.2050 (pre-merger) to 1.4267 (post-merger period) which signifies a greater profitability for the bank and we also found that Return on Assets has improved after merger from a mean value of -0.7733 (pre-merger) to 0.3450 (post-merger) and it is also found that the mean value of percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances have decreased after merger signifying a better performance of the bank.

8. Comparative Analysis Across Merged Anchor Banks

Table 12: Comparative Analysis of Merged Banks Before and After Merger

Sr. Ratios Period BOB Canara Bank Indian Bank PNB Union Bank Avg. of All Banks
1 CAR Pre-merger 12.1300 12.8850 13.8567 12.0450 12.8833 12.7600
Post-merger 12.8933 13.3567 14.7767 14.0100 12.7500 13.55734
2 EPS Pre-merger -1.8850 -3.5467 2.5383 -1.7050 -6.2050 -2.16068
Post-merger 0.5617 5.2600 7.6233 0.6717 1.4267 3.10868
3 ROA Pre-merger -0.2417 -0.2350 0.1700 -0.2317 -0.7733 -0.26234
Post-merger 0.1200 0.2983 0.5683 0.2067 0.3450 0.30766
4 % of Gross NPA to Advances Pre-merger 11.4050 8.8500 7.1950 15.9317 15.0117 11.67868
Post-merger 9.8150 8.3967 9.8217 13.7683 13.8550 11.13134
5 % of Net NPA to Advances Pre-merger 4.7183 5.2517 3.6967 7.0933 6.9683 5.54566
Post-merger 3.3967 3.4167 3.1950 5.2050 4.3817 3.91902

Comparative Interpretation: Canara Bank has the highest rise in EPS from -3.54 to 5.26 followed by Union Bank of India and Indian Bank. PNB has a lowest rise in EPS. On the overall we can see that there is a rise in EPS as well. Union Bank of India has the highest rise in Return on Assets from -0.7733 to 0.3450 followed by Canara bank, PNB, Indian Bank and BOB that means the returns are good, assets are effectively utilized. All the banks had negative ROA in pre period except Indian Bank but after merger they had a positive ROA. We can see that there is decrease in the percentage of gross NPA to advances of all banks except Indian Bank which has a rise in the percentage of gross NPA to advances. The percentage of net NPA to advances has reduced in the case of all banks. We can see a positive impact of merger on performance of banks as we can see there is a growth in Capital Adequacy, EPS and ROA taking the average of all the banks and there is also a fall in the percentage of gross NPA to advances and percentage of net NPA to advances for all banks.

Empirical Synthesis: Significant Impact Matrix Across Variables

Sector Company Significant Impact of Merger on Variables (p < 0.05)
CAR EPS ROA % Gross NPA % Net NPA
Banking Sector BOB Yes No No Yes Yes
Canara Bank No No No No Yes
Indian Bank Yes No No Yes No
PNB Yes No No Yes Yes
Union Bank of India No No No Yes Yes

9. Strategic Role of Chartered Accountants (CAs) in Bank Mergers

  1. A CA can carry out the functions of merger and acquisition of banks.
  2. A CA can measure the financial performance of banks and provide necessary solutions for better performance.
  3. A CA can make the valuations process in respect of mergers and acquisition.
  4. A CA can comply with all the legal formalities that are applicable to merger and acquisitions.

10. Conclusion

In this study we analyzed the impact of merger on financial performance of public sector banks in India and it is found from the analysis that merger has a significant effect on financial performance with regard to Capital Adequacy, gross NPA to advances and net NPA to advances but there is no significant impact of merger on Earnings per Share and Return on Assets.

From the study it can be said the merger was effective as it enhanced the performance of all banks taken in the study. There is a huge scope for banks in the future as these banks have become bigger banks after the merger.