Technology - Preparing for the Next Wave
The March of Human Civilisation Through Four Great Technological Revolutions
The history of human civilisation is often marked by technological milestones. Whether it be individuals, economies or participants in warfare, those with access to the latest / more advanced technology are usually the winners. If we look at the march of human civilisation, there have been four great technological revolutions:
Learning leverage and simple tools (wheels, catapults) to ease human labor.
Steam power to internal combustion engines (motor cars), unlocking mass industrial production and reducing manufacturing costs manifold.
Electrification transformed society; from computers to cinema, power drove modern life.
“Geography is History.” Remote work, IT/ITeS lifting millions from poverty, and mobile devices unifying computing, internet, and communication.
❖ Strategic Mapping of Emerging Technologies for India
1. Big Data and Artificial Intelligence (The 5th Industrial Revolution)
Some designate AI as the 5th Industrial Revolution already upon us. While creating dystopian visions (“Rise of the Machines”), algorithms and robotics are currently omnipresent across daily enterprise operations:
- Algorithmic high-frequency stock trading and capital market analytics.
- Automated credit risk decisions in Fintech firms.
- Predictive search cues, auto-spellcheck in mobile operating systems.
- Cybernetic (self-correcting) load-balancing systems in modern power generation plants.
- Tax administration systems that automatically generate audit alerts when an individual’s observed lifestyle and asset purchases do not reconcile with reported tax returns.
- Telematics in modern vehicles calculating exact travel radius based on current fuel reserves.
- Personalized social media algorithmic feeds and targeted online programmatic advertising.
Machine Learning systems and Neural Networks identify complex patterns and learn iteratively from past experience to refine algorithms, behaving analogously to human learning. When Persian mathematician Al-Khwarizmi solved his first quadratic equations 1,200 years ago, little did he know that mathematical procedures named after him (algorithms) would govern 21st-century civilization.
Combined with the Internet of Things (IoT)—deploying web-enabled microchips and sensors into domestic white goods and automobiles—these networks create extraordinarily powerful diagnostic and autonomous self-correcting systems.
2. Quantum Computing & Domestic Semiconductor Fabrication
Processing colossal petabytes of data to simulate probabilistic outcomes, train neural networks, and govern real-time automated infrastructure demands exponentially greater computing power than classical binary architecture can deliver. Quantum computing represents the definitive paradigm leap (demonstrated by Google achieving quantum supremacy in 2019).
Prerequisite for India: Before India can lead in quantum computing, the country must urgently establish indigenous semiconductor chip fabrication plants (fabs) to produce integrated circuits locally rather than depending entirely on foreign supply chains.
3. Augmented Reality (AR), Virtual Reality (VR) and the Metaverse
Beyond gaming and entertainment, immersive AI-powered AR and VR technologies provide transformative applications in training simulations, surgical preparation, engineering mock-ups, and interactive pedagogic teaching aids.
Imagine history students experiencing an immersive 360-degree reconstruction of the Dandi March or the Revolt of 1857 unfolding around them. The Metaverse initiative reflects this trajectory, with global corporations actively acquiring virtual experiential “real estate” to pioneer next-generation digital customer engagements.
4. Cyber-Security and Data Protection
As personal data generated by smartphones, wearable fitness trackers, IoT appliances, and social media platforms migrates to cloud servers, safeguarding confidential information from malicious actors is of paramount importance. With financial transactions shifting almost entirely online, the imperative for robust cryptographic protection is urgent.
5. Communication and Bandwidth Infrastructure
The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the critical role of network bandwidth, with corporate operations and global board meetings migrating to teleconferencing tools like Microsoft Teams and Zoom. Rapid digitization mandates the aggressive deployment of 5G spectrum and high-capacity fibre optic cabling.
Fibre optic transmission reached speeds of 500 Gigabytes per second.
Average mobile internet bandwidth in India was around 12 MBPS (ranking 131 out of 138 globally, below Iraq).
6. Healthcare Systems: Wonderdrugs, Gene Therapy, Bionics and Vaccines
- AI Drug Discovery: AI algorithms are revolutionizing molecular design to combat chronic non-communicable diseases: Hypertension, Diabetes, Depression, Oncology (Cancer), and Alzheimer’s disease.
- Gene Editing: Breakthrough tools like CRISPR/Cas9 enable targeted gene therapies to eliminate hereditary genetic defects in unborn children and enhance human resilience.
- Vaccines: The COVID-19 pandemic established rapid mRNA and platform vaccine R&D as essential national security infrastructure.
- Bionics (Three Pillars):
- Wearables: Non-invasive continuous vital sign and biometric monitoring.
- Implants: Devices augmenting failing bodily functions (e.g. cardiac pacemakers).
- Artificial Organs: Bionic electronic vision for the blind, combined with stem cell biology to regenerate natural organs.
7. Uber-isation and the Platform Aggregator Economy
Pioneering platforms have transformed common language (e.g., “Ubering to office” joining Xerox, Coke, and Google). The structural anomaly of modern business: the world’s largest taxi company (Uber) owns no taxis; the largest accommodation provider (Airbnb) owns no real estate; and Amazon dominates global commerce as a hyper-efficient marketplace aggregator.
“Why buy the cow when you can just buy the milk?”
8. Cloud Technologies
Enterprises have transitioned away from heavy capital investments in proprietary server rooms, dedicated hardware, and costly on-premise software licenses. In their place, scalable, utility-based cloud storage and Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) architectures allow businesses to pay strictly for server compute time used or on a per-transaction basis.
9 & 10. Blockchain Distributed Ledgers and Cryptocurrencies
Blockchain as the “Cloud Service of the Ledger”: Blockchain is a distributed, cryptographically self-validating ledger system that eliminates reconciliation costs and ownership friction. Rather than maintaining isolated ledgers, multiple parties interact on a single tamper-evident shared network. It offers an ideal solution for Government accounting and banking networks with geographically dispersed functionaries—an innovation especially close to the heart of the accounting profession.
Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum): Operating as decentralized alternatives to sovereign fiat currency. Following the RBI circular ban and its subsequent overturn by the Supreme Court, legislative proposals have aimed to prohibit domestic usage.
11. Renewable Energy Transition
Global economic progress necessitates substituting finite, polluting fossil fuels with solar, wind, and hydroelectric energy. The sun represents a virtually inexhaustible clean power source.
India’s Energy Mix: Approximately 24.2% of India’s installed power capacity is renewable. However, solar power constitutes only about 10% (amounting to 37.4 GW). Massive headroom exists to expand large-scale utility solar farms and domestic rooftop solar arrays.
12. Battery-Operated Vehicles and Next-Generation Mobility
The obsolescence of the internal combustion engine is approaching. Battery-electric vehicles (EVs) and hydrogen fuel cell technologies recharged through solar power will dominate. Future mass transit requires electrifying public bus fleets, 100% electrification of rail lines, introducing high-speed bullet trains for inter-city travel, and developing futuristic ultra-high-speed transit like Hyperloop.
13. Water Conservation, Desalination and Recycling
Although 70% of the Earth’s surface is covered with water, only 3.5% of it is potable (USGS). As global warming melts glaciers and strains freshwater tables, rainwater harvesting, industrial wastewater recycling, and seawater desalination technologies become critical survival infrastructure.
14. Space Colonization and Scientific Planetary Defense
Pioneered by initiatives like Elon Musk’s SpaceX vision to establish multi-planetary human colonies on Mars, outer space exploration is entering a renaissance. Beyond technological posturing, space exploration serves to advance fundamental planetary physics, extract off-world minerals, and secure an existential “Plan B” for human civilization against catastrophic terrestrial impacts (such as dinosaur-eradicating meteors). India’s world-class ISRO space programme provides a robust launching pad.
15 & 16. Defence Indigenisation and Intelligent Policing Networks
Defence Technology Indigenisation: While a borderless world remains a philosophical ideal, geopolitical realities mandate strong deterrence. As the world’s largest importer of armaments, India must prioritize reverse-engineering and technology transfers, fostering private sector defence manufacturing, establishing R&D centers in the IITs, and paying competitive market salaries to scientists.
Intelligence & Policing Systems: A centralized National Crime Reporting Network integrating police stations, street CCTV networks, and facial recognition databases is essential. However, strict judicial oversight is necessary to prevent an Orwellian surveillance apparatus. Wearable tracking devices could also be deployed for undertrials accused of minor offenses to safely decongest India’s overcrowded prisons.
2. Paving the Way to the Future: Innovation Ecosystem & Harari’s 4 Cs
Technological leadership cannot be achieved through ad-hoc governmental projects alone; it requires a four-pillar innovation ecosystem:
Future-Proofing Human Skills: Yuval Noah Harari’s 4 Cs Framework
In 21 Lessons for the 21st Century, historian Yuval Noah Harari observes that as the pace of technological obsolescence accelerates and life expectancy increases, it is impossible to predict the exact vocational skills children will need decades into the future. Today’s computer programming languages will be completely obsolete by the time children join the workforce. Instead of rote technical knowledge, students must master the 4 Cs:
The Strategic Imperative for Chartered Accountants
These technological disruptions directly transform the accounting and finance professions. Chartered Accountants will increasingly audit smart contracts on decentralized Blockchains, evaluate and account for digital Cryptocurrencies, and govern real-time cloud-based ERP architectures. As trusted advisors occupying a vital role in corporate governance and enterprise finance, Chartered Accountants must continually upskill to remain at the forefront of digital transformation.
Notes and References:
- CNN Business (2019): Google achieves Quantum Supremacy. https://edition.cnn.com/2019/10/23/tech/google-quantum-supremacy-scn/index.html
- The Economic Times: India ranks 131 out of 138 countries in mobile internet speed. Article link
- Mercom India: Solar power share in India’s renewable energy mix. https://mercomindia.com/solar-share-in-india-2/
- USGS Water Science School: How much water is there on Earth? https://www.usgs.gov/special-topic/water-science-school/science/how-much-water-there-earth